Picture this: a world where oil prices swing like a pendulum at a heavy metal concert. That's essentially what Rapidan Energy Group's analysts have been tracking for decades. The energy consultancy's latest bombshell? Their prediction that crude oil prices will enter a new boom cycle post-2035 – even as the world races toward renewable energy. Let's unpack why some of Wall Street's biggest players are taking note
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Picture this: a world where oil prices swing like a pendulum at a heavy metal concert. That's essentially what Rapidan Energy Group's analysts have been tracking for decades. The energy consultancy's latest bombshell? Their prediction that crude oil prices will enter a new boom cycle post-2035 – even as the world races toward renewable energy. Let's unpack why some of Wall Street's biggest players are taking notes.
Oil markets have always been the ultimate drama series, and Rapidan's analysts are the showrunners predicting next season's plot twists. Recent episodes include:
Bob McNally, Rapidan's president, puts it bluntly: "Every $1 change in oil prices shifts about $3 billion daily in global wealth. That's not economics – that's geopolitical judo." The firm's risk models now factor in everything from drone strikes on refineries to TikTok-fueled protests disrupting pipelines.
While Tesla gets the headlines, Big Oil's been quietly undergoing its own tech revolution. Rapidan's 2024 Digital Oilfield Report reveals:
But here's the kicker – these efficiency gains might actually delay peak oil demand. As Rapidan's Fernando Ferreira notes: "We're not finding more oil – we're just getting better at squeezing blood from stone."
China's oil demand trajectory looks like a hockey stick with jet fuel attached. Consider:
Rapidan's models suggest China's "hidden demand" – think emergency stockpiling and military reserves – could add 2 million barrels/day to official consumption figures by 2030. That's like suddenly discovering a new Norway-sized oil consumer.
The oil cartel's recent moves would make Machiavelli proud. When Libya's production collapsed in 2024, OPEC+ did... absolutely nothing. Rapidan's analysis shows why:
But the real magic happens in Vienna meeting rooms. As one Rapidan client quipped: "OPEC+ decisions are like Swiss watches – beautiful mechanisms that tell perfect time... until they suddenly explode."
For all the bullish signals, Rapidan's risk matrix flashes red in several quadrants:
The firm's controversial "Green Barrel" theory suggests future oil contracts might trade based on carbon intensity – imagine West Texas Intermediate competing with "Low-Emission Saudi Light."
As energy markets enter this twilight zone between fossil fuels and renewables, Rapidan's analysts keep updating their playbook. Their final word of caution? "In oil markets, the only certainty is that someone's always about to be spectacularly wrong." Investors would do well to remember that as 2035 approaches.
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